Wellemeyer pitches Cardinals over Giants

Baseball Betting Lines

07/02/2009 - St. Louis, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Todd Wellemeyer threw 7 1/3 innings to help the St. Louis Cardinals take a 5-2 win over the San Francisco Giants and split a four-game series.

Wellemeyer (7-7) scattered seven hits and two runs with a walk and six strikeouts for the Cardinals, who won the final two games of the series. Ryan Ludwick drove in two runs while Brendan Ryan scored twice.

Barry Zito (4-8) was tagged for all five runs on five hits with three walks and seven strikeouts in just 4 1/3 innings for the Giants, who have lost two straight on the heels of a three-game winning streak. Aaron Rowand hit a two- run homer to account for the offense.

The Cardinals got all the runs they needed in the opening inning. The first three batters reached safely to load the bases and Ludwick beat out an infield single to chase home Ryan. Yadier Molina then worked a walk to force home Skip Schumaker and Chris Duncan hit into a fielder's choice that scored Albert Pujols for a 3-0 lead.

San Francisco had baserunners in each of the first five innings, but only got a man to second twice, in the first and third innings.

St. Louis padded its lead in the fifth. With men on second and third, Schumaker grounded out to bring home Colby Rasmus. Later in the frame, an RBI single from Ludwick brought home Ryan for a 5-0 advantage.

The Giants got on the board in the eighth to spoil Wellemeyer's shutout bid. Pinch-hitter Nate Schierholtz led off with a single and Rowand followed with a shot that just cleared the wall in left for his ninth home run to make it a 5-2 game.

Ryan Franklin, though, shut down San Francisco in order in the ninth to grab his 19th save of the season.

Game Notes

St. Louis hits the road and starts a three-game set in Cincinnati on Friday...San Francisco returns home to start a three-game series in Houston on Friday...The Giants took four of the seven games against St. Louis this season and have won the series the past three seasons...Before the game, St. Louis agreed to terms with 16-year-old outfielder Wagner Mateo. He is considered to be the top amateur free agent on the market from Latin America this year.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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